DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT WED APR 09 2008
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY/TENNESSEE VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES...
...OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES... A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS
AND CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. 00Z GFS AND 00Z/PRIOR
12Z ECMWF ARE IN ADEQUATE AGREEMENT /NOTABLY SLOWER
THAN 00Z NAM AND 21Z SREF SOLUTIONS/...SUGGESTING THAT
THE NEARLY STACKED CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST ON FRIDAY. AHEAD OF
THE GRADUALLY OCCLUDING COLD FRONT...STRONG FLOW IN THE
LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERE WILL REMAIN ATOP A WARM/MOIST
AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. ALL SEVERE MODES APPEAR
POSSIBLE INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND MULTICELLS /ESPECIALLY
WITH LINEAR FORCING ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT/...
WITH DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL AND SOME TORNADOES. SOMEWHAT
HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES WILL LIKELY EXIST WITHIN THE
CURRENT RISK AREA...HOWEVER LIMITED PREDICTABILITY REGARDING
UPPER TROUGH/COLD FRONT TIMING AND LINGERING DAY 2 STORMS
PRECLUDES SUCH A DELINEATION AT THIS TIME.
..GUYER.. 04/09/2008
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2 comments:
Time for Mike to introduce the boys to chasing??? :O)
Great idea...if the timing is right!
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