11:45 a.m. visible image
Our twin waves, which I first mentioned on Sunday August 1o, are still out there. The lead wave is finally getting better organized and models are hinting at a hurricane east of the Florida peninsula in the days to come.
From the NHC:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS PASSING
OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...WHILE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR
ON FRIDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
2. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES
MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NAM - Valid Sunday at 1 a.m. CT
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