Here is a handy dandy page from the SPC for data on severe weather, including model output.
The above graphic is the Significant Tornado Parameter Index. Most "significant" tornadoes (F2 or greater) are associated with values greater than 1. Notice that values in eastern OK and TX and western AR and LA are currently greater than 2. In some isolated areas values are greater than 3. It could be a rough evening in this region.
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